Understanding Currency Interest Rate Differentials - Forex ...

Dive Bar Pub Crawl 2018 - First six stops

I'm doing a tribute to the 24 days of Christmas by going over the financial statements of 24 companies that are considered downrange, speculative, and just plain high risk.
The legal cannabis industry already has a ton of risk in it - but this stuff - is only for thrill seekers. All opinions are my own, and certainly not a recommendation for or against any of them, or to buy or sell.
I've limited myself to 45mins to each, and kept to most recent financial statements and MD&A's. You'll likely know more about the company than me if you're following them. This is only my reactions with a brief commentary about what I see in their latest financial statements.
I haven't been consistent in following them all over the past year: some I have, others not.
Ah, it's that time of the year again.
The smell of chestnuts roasting....the sights of snack tables filled with shortbread & egg nog....of lights and decorations and presents....and that time when the elves revisit the route on their 2017 Dive Bar Pub Crawl.
Some of the share prices have been up and down faster than a toddler's mood. Let's take a look, and see who has been 'naughty' or 'nice'.
MPX - MPX Bioceutical
Price then: $0.40 - Price Now: $0.87
Recently, I toured their Nevada facility, and wrote their financials up here, and you can find the grow op writeup here. Gonna cheat a little this year, and refer to that.
KALY - Kalytera Therapeutics, Inc.
Price then: $0.29 - Price Now: $0.065
Ugh. Just ugh. As I said last year, pharma is outside of my wheelhouse, as does financials related to them. Anyhow, I still think the financials suck.
GLH - Golden Leaf Holdings
Price then: $0.28 - Price Now: $0.13
While searching for a reason for the merger cancellation, I came across a Terra Tech comedy sketch. Sadly, there is not even a mention of the merger 'oopsy' on their website. Seriously, if space becomes available in the Crawl, Terra Tech is first in line.
As for GLH....well....caveat your fucking emptor. Eye bleach is/was too gentle a term for this outfit's fins.
THC Biomed
Price then: $0.80 - Price Now: $0.32
Through disclosure, we know that they pay $25 an hour, a $500 xmas bonus, and 250,000 stock options. Which is pretty good. Qualification is that you have to be a close family member of the CEO, and buy $1,400 in product.
Well, there's many different fish in the sea. But I do suspect that this isn't a fish, it's just a sea slug.
EAT (Nutritional High)
Price then: $0.22 - Price Now: $0.18
Ok. They have stuff littered everywhere, and it doesn't look like any of it is worth anything. Oh, wait, that's what I said last year.
Realistically, to get a good handle on this thing, one would need an Act of God. I waited for a little while, but it didn't happen. On to.....
RVV - Revive Therapeutics
Price then: $0.30 - Price Now: $0.09
Heavy in options, some design around clinical trials. Nothing much else stands out. Again, pharma and value hunting in research ain't something I know much about. The entire assumption in here is that they'll actually put out someday, or get taken out by a larger fish (hopefully for more than the $10MM they've dumped into it). Anyone investing in stuff this downrange, better have your scope sighted in.
Or perhaps you know that the FDA's granting of orphan drug status for CBD in the prevention of ischemia and reperfusion injury resulting from solid organ transplantation is just the shot in the arm this company needed. If you do, please keep it to yourself.
submitted by mollytime to TheCannalysts [link] [comments]

Dive Bar Pub Crawl - Second Six

I'm doing a tribute to the 24 days of Christmas by going over the financial statements of 24 companies that are considered downrange, speculative, and just plain high risk.
Our first six stops is fondly captured here.
All opinions are my own, and certainly not a recommendation for or against any of them, or to buy or sell.
Many are companies I've never looked at before. In some cases, I'd never even heard of them. I limited myself to 45mins to each, and kept mainly to most recent financial statements and MD&A's. You'll likely know more about the company than me if you're following them. This is only my reactions with a brief commentary about what I saw in the financial statements.
LDS - Lifestyle Delivery Systems
Thing feels a like an ATM for management to me.
RTI - Radient Technologies
Of all I’ve looked at, I think this business model could work if they can wait until it actually generates revenue. Top heavy balance sheet needs concrete supports quick.
TNY - Tinley Beverage Company
All sparkles and rainbows and hope. The only question is if there will be anyone who wants to buy what they make. Feedstock not well defined. Scalability a real concern. Suspect they’ll need a shit ton of money if they actually try to. Feels like campers.
IMH - Invictus EDIT - Dec21 1100hrs Elves pulled a boner, covered wrong financial statements. Will be corrected after they come to later today. Replaced for now by......
iAn - Ianthus Capital Holdings
A business built on excel spreadsheets by bankers for bankers. So many contingencies to revenue combined with jurisdictional uncertainty, this is simply a hedge fund. Short and mid-term operational exposure is extreme.
CHV - Canada House Wellness Group Inc
I’m going to stop, because there’s many more to go, and there’s not much more to see here in terms of doing a high level look. This has been my favorite to do so far, because their disclosure is so good. I really like the idea of a focused, vertically integrated company too, but this company is a train wreck on paper. Whether this one can survive for another year…. EDIT UPDATE! Day after I posted this, CHV announced a $7MM convertible raise, spending 25% of it on paying debt and accounts payable. Expensive, and suggests ops aren't paying the bills. Not atypical in growth phases. Exceptionally good disclosure though. Of note, 60% of the stock is owned by only 2 investors and insiders.
LIB - Liberty Leaf Holdings
Doesn’t look bad on paper. I’d gauge the risk on whether or not production can come in on time, what the facility actually looks like, and if they can get product sold mucho pronto. CEO has no history of anything connected to cannabis, only equity structures. Despite financial ‘health’, high risk Dive Bar goodness. Speculative is an understatement for this one. If IR can specifically address those three top things accurately, it offers focused regional cannabis exposure. Problem with that is the supply bubble potential in BC though. If they were in Manitoba….
submitted by mollytime to TheCannalysts [link] [comments]

Cryptocurrency markets challenges and solutions

This has been bugging me for a while so thank you for endulging my rambling. TL;DR at the end.
I'd like for everyone to just think about what we're trying to do here. Don't forget what the ultimate goal is. Anyone remember? Is it to make a profit? No, that's a secondary goal. The primary goal is to develop widespread adoption of cryptocurrency as an alternative to fiat currency. Anyone remember this lofty goal or did we all forget this while chasing 30% daily price swings. We're trying to complete with USD, GBP, EUR, and CNY, remember?
This is EUR vs. USD. You'll note that this is all data (or click on "All" button on the bottom), going back to 1993 through today. What do you notice? You'll notice an open of $1.22 to €1. After a few months, it fell about 10%, then rose up 24% over the next two years only to drop about 40% over seven years and then almost doubling over eight years only to drop about a third in the last ten years to where it is today - almost where we were 25 years ago (approximately).
This is BTC vs. USD. You'll note that this is all data going back to 2011. During the last seven years it has... oh my God are you kidding me?! This is LTC vs. USD.
Let's not forget what we're talking about. We're talking about currency. For currency to be used, it needs to be relatively stable. Now compare the charts above. Let's say we created a new country called Cryptonia. Which of these would you like to use as currency? EUR? BTC? LTC? My money is on EUR. Why? Because it's relatively stable.
Now let's fast forward a bit and pretend that Cryptonia has adopted Litecoin as its official currency. Our largest trading partner is the US. How would transactions between merchants work in this scenario, taking into account the last few days. I'll use the following prices:
Let's run through a transaction:
1/16
1/17
1/18:
Conclusion:
This works both ways as far as you can do the math in USD vs. LTC to see how this screws over at least one party due to the wild price swings. Note: fiat currency does the same thing with one key difference explained later on.
Don't forget that this is all within 3 days. Now sure, obviously the last few days isn't something that happens every day ... but doesn't it? Look at the examples of EUR:USD. Any sharp spikes or drops have taken months to execute - enough time for relative prices to adjust. Look at cryptocurrency prices - the swings (from a percentage basis) are wild on a regular basis. In short, cryptocurrency isn't acting like currency. It's acting like an asset and not just an asset but a highly speculative one. The IRS is right to treat it like an asset because if it looks like an asset, and it acts like an asset, then it is an asset.
Where do I believe this should go? I believe cryptocurrency market needs to mature. I believe these drastic price swings need to stop. When will this happen? I believe it'll happen when the cryptocurrency market reaches a happy plateau where the market cap has reached a point where the buyers and sellers mostly eliminate one another and the relatively large price swings - from a percent point of view - are as boring as Mr. Stein. EUR vs. USD went up 0.03% today. 0.03%. In LTC-speek, that's going up $0.58 for the whole day. Oh and it was a wild ride too. Why it went all the way down to $1.21697 and all the way up to 1.22645. I know, I know - tie me down because I'm out of control.
Is this the only problem? No. Cryptocurrency has another problem and that's the sheer number of types of coins available. How many coins are available? 1,448. Nearly 1,500 coins all competing with each other for market share. We have Bitcoin at about $200b all the way to something like Digital Money Bits (DMB, an appropriate acronym). What is it? Who cares, it's worth $3,832. Not $3.832 billion or million but literally $3,832 with a volume of $35,509 today and hey, just this June, its market cap reached an all time high of $62,000! You missed the recent run-up though and boy did you miss it. On January 1st, its market cap was worth almost five hundred dollars! Yep, about two Litecoins! But look at it now - it went from $500 market cap to $3,832 in less than three weeks. Clearly this one is shooting to the moon.
This is a problem. Decentralization has an unfortunate side effect of - duh - nobody being in charge. There's no real clearance for these and some people with a little bit of money can literally copy and paste a whitepaper and have this chart and have a serious valuation of almost $17b from $140 million in literally 30 days. This doesn't act like a currency either. This is a problem.
Don't forget, this isn't like the dot-com era. We're not launching IPO's and .com companies that have different ideas. Amazon isn't like Ebay, or Google, or Yahoo, or Facebook or anything else. They all have different ideas for different segments of the population. We are in the cryptocurrency market. The world today has 180 fiat currencies. Cryptocurrency market is approaching 1,500. We need to trim the fat and the outright forgeries. Market cap isn't enough to weed them out. There needs to be something, a stabilizing force, that should act as a clearinghouse for launch of new cryptocurrencies. The market has failed to destroy shitcoins. Heck, it rewarded them based on lies, paid endorsements, FOMO, and FUD for other coins. This doesn't help the cryptocurrency market. It helps a few people get really wealthy really quickly and you are left holding the bag, so to speak. Should coins only be allowed to be introduced when its network reaches a certain hash rate? Isn't that the only objective point of value we have - number of mathematical calculations and power used in those calculations? You can't fake that.
What's another problem with cryptocurrency? It's what it represents. The governments don't see crypto as a positive force. After all, it directly competes with their own currencies. Can the governments shut this down? No - this is the Internet, after all. But they can kill it in other ways. I don't know how many people here remember but my first brush with Bitcoin was the ransomware viruses which wanted $300 in Bitcoin to unlock files. Bitcoin was seen as something tied to illegal activities. If governments - and let's say the US, South Korea, and China in particular - ban Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies in particular then what they'll really do is make transactions illegal. What's the on-ramp and off-ramp to/from crypto? The banks which are already regulated. Now let's say you're in the US, your bank account is tied to your Coinbase account and you have some cryptocurrency. US issues a regulation which states that trading cryptocurrency is now illegal. It issues orders to all US banks to shut down related accounts. The following things will happen: cryptocurrency prices will tank and everyone is going to scramble taking money out which would likely overload the system, causing massive delays.
But let's say you're left holding your crypto and it's been a month. What can you do with it? Not much. Crypto isn't accepted in enough places yet. You can continue holding, hoping the price and ability to extract will come back one day. After all, you can't get your money back. Your bank closed your related account. You can open another one at any new bank but they'll either ban you from connecting your account to Coinbase or they'll confiscate any money coming from Coinbase and charge you with a crime. Now have the governments banned crypto? No - you can use and trade crypto all you want since it can't be traced. But have they effectively? Yes. Ironically, it's the banks that'll save us and I think that's why Ripple blew up. After all, if you have a cryptocurrency that sucks the bank's [censored] and plays along, you can get:
I think that's why something like Ripple blew up - because it doesn't care much about regular people, it wants to be the speedy highway for bank<->bank transfers.
What's a solution to this problem? More regulation and playing nice with the governments. Crypto isn't going mainstream if you shut out all governments. It needs to be connected. This means working with regulators to make sure that KYC laws are followed, that people report and pay money on any gains, and that - to a point - there's some supervision and tracing of transactions in a way that if you're robbed, you can get your money back. This will create a new job field, which - considering our current growth - will create a whole slew of high-paying white-collar jobs. Considering the high-level of transactions, banks would start this, followed by private companies, governments, and law-enforcement agencies. A good way to start this is what CBOE and CME have started to do - legitimize the currency. This is a foot in the door to the real holy grail: FOREX markets. When it's legitimized and not in serious competition with governments, it'll be embraced and its availability - along with instant transfers and low fees - will be widely supported by serious platforms.
Until these problems are fixed, the cryptocurrency market will remain what it is today: a speculative asset and not a currency. During the time it's taken me to write this post, Litecoin has gone up 2.6%. Euro remains at 0.03% gain.
Thanks for reading!
TL;DR
submitted by SsurebreC to LitecoinTraders [link] [comments]

What have I learned while building Phantom AM? My experiences and goals

Before you start, I apologize for it being so long. I had intended it to be only 500 or so words but as of typing this when I am done I am over 2300 words. Quite a bit more than my first thought, everything seemed to just flow so well on the keyboard. Hope you enjoy the read and can either learn something or can teach me something. Read ON!
Introduction
A bit about me, my name is Josh Kirby and I am the founder of Phantom Asset Management or Phantom AM for short since that would make one long domain name. I am 20 years old and this is my 3rd business, the first two were web design/ dev agencies. First one I did solo then the second I did with a remote team of 8. I made some money off these but most of it was spent on living since I never really scaled it in a way to give me profit. I wanted to be the ‘good guy’ and pay everyone well, well I paid them enough to wipe out 80% of the profits. My total take from both web businesses is in the $XX,000 range. I started my first one at 14 then the second at 17. So not much total experience between them but I did learn a lot about marketing and cold emails. Cold emails were the main source of contracts over the years. I never found ads to be of much use. It felt like I was just paying for no return and likely that was the case since I only got 8.3% of total contracts from customers who said they heard of me through our ads. I did quit doing ads 1 year into the second business because of the poor return, I figured know when to quit and save the money to spend on other methods.
When I was young I was not very social and as a result once I moved to the concrete jungle we call cities, I became a hermit of sorts. I stayed inside and played games a lot, but I always had a thirst for knowledge. This resulted in me learning a lot of different things, what ever happened to be my special interest at the time (I have ASD, so I get really into these special interests more so than most). I learned about everything from military (childhood dream job that got crushed), to space and space exploration, to computer hardware, to programming.
So that is where I have ended up, I built an asset tracking and management SaaS that I am targeting at small business owners and individuals who have a lot of tech to keep track of. Though I am thinking the small businesses will be my main target, the individuals is more of a secondary thought.
Project Story
A bit of backstory for this project, I have a ton and I mean a ton of computer hardware and cables. It is to the point a good section of my basement is full. I never could know what I had and if I was giving away the last of that cable or not. Never knew who I leant out cables and hardware to either. I knew I needed a software solution to this issue since Excel was not going to be an appropriate solution, so, I built what I needed then I focused on making it into a SaaS application when others said I should and showed demand for it.
Now if you have a look at it you will see the dashboard template is the same as another competitor in the space. This was by complete accident and frankly I hate that it is the same but at the same time I have decided that it will stay until it becomes an issue, or I just can’t stand it anymore. That is the likely one. I do have it in my roadmap to create a more custom dashboard template but that is for the future not today. Say 18 months down the line or so.
I know that some people will hate on me for using the same one and frankly that is fine since I know that I built most of this system for personal use and adapted it to a business. Some of the features are ideas that I had from talking to IT consultants and other small business owners. Each of them provided me with information that has gone into this project and I know each and every one of them is going to be happy with what is there or is coming in the next few months.
Speaking of coming features, if you can think of any that you believe should be in an asset tracking/ management software please say so. I would love to get feedback on what I have and what I can add.
Okay so we are past the basic personal project and talking to potential customers, what else is there to do other than finish the software? Well there is a ton to do and a ton I still must do. Getting the legal part of the business chosen and set up took a while, I spent 2 days emailing lawyers trying to find the right one. I did do my research on each one and sadly not many of the ones I contacted replied. The one I ended up talking had to do a background check on me and all proposed shareholders. I am not sure why they did this but when they did, they found a “conflict” they had to have one of their lawyers sign off on. That took a few days to solve. I talked to the lawyer, Rob, he knew a lot and informed me on what I needed to do. He said I didn’t need a proper shareholders agreement since I will be the only shareholder. Saved some money there but he did mention I needed a software license agreement. Well before I signed the retainer I did some research on it all, I decided a software license agreement was not right and that I needed terms of use and a service agreement since my software is not downloadable. I went back and consulted him on this and turns out I was right and that when I explained the SaaS
I contacted him back about this and we talked and agreed that is what I would need. He gave me a price of $3000 to do it all up and a timeline of 6 weeks since he would be gone for a family holiday between now and when he could finish. Okay so more research (research is critical for a successful business), I found out that I could use the federal site and do it myself to save $1500, that was the price to incorporate through Rob. I did it myself after debating on it for 2 days and going over it with my father and friends who know business better than me. Then came the other stuff, I did that all online too for only $200 ish, glad I went that route instead of the other $1500 through the lawyer. I talked to a family friend who is a lawyer and he said that doing it myself would save me a lot and that it would not be perfectly suited to me, but it would be good enough till I get the business up and running and more importantly profitable. I agreed that I would be better off using the funds to advertise and grow the business instead of having perfect legal stuff when what I got protected me properly and government wise I was fine because the specifics don’t matter at first.
When incorporating you had to select the number of directors and while selecting only 1 seems like a good idea when I am the only one it doesn’t leave much room for growth and at the end of the day I want to grow this to at least a medium sized business and that involves bringing on more directors, so I chose the max range of 1-10 directors. The next choice was named vs numbered corporation, I chose numbered because the named cost more to start up and I can change it to named later once I got money coming in. You will notice a trend here of that I went cheap as possible where I could change things later to make it more prope to what I wanted. I only did this when the cost to make these changes would not be much money compared to what it cost in the first place.
So now I got the legal done I can do the banking, this is always an exciting time for me because I love money and knowing that I am opening an account to put profits in makes me giddy. I did have to make some choices here about how I wanted it set up, I am in Canada, so I will be paying taxes here and paying for expenses here too. So easy, put it in CAD and convert it right? Well no, simply because many services I need to use are in USD. I decided to open both a CAD and a USD account. I figured this would give me the most flexibility and cost savings on the forex fees, so I could hook up the bank accounts directly to services that correspond to their currencies. This should be the cheapest route I can do without much trouble. I would only transfer money into CAD for making my payments.
While we are on the financial stuff, charging taxes was something I could not get a clear answer on, no matter what I looked up I could not figure it out and accountants were either not willing to provide advice on an hourly rate (well other than one who said $295 an hour) or just didn’t contact me back. Taxes are an evil of life that we all suffer through, so I ended up calling the CRA to figure out whether I needed to or how I needed to. I knew I could not just apply it to all customers because why add 13% to the price when I don’t need to. I also thought I needed to add it only to those in my province. Well the CRA cleared that one up and I decided that for those who I had to charge it to I would eat the cost on it and sell to those at a “lower” price when I just put it as sold at lower price and I pay the taxes to make it so the invoices to all customers are the same. I shouldn’t penalize certain customers since they are in my province.
Where I Am Now
Once this all got set up I get onto where I am now, marketing and sales. Marketing and sales has never been my strong suit, I am more technical, financial and operations. Because of this I am hoping that I can create enough momentum to make it, so I prove my business can generate customers from a conversion stand point. If I can do enough to make it so I make even a slight bit of profit I think I can find a way to hire someone who knows marketing and sales. I did at first think about a co-founder, but I just could not find one who I liked and felt like I could trust. I am hoping I can make some right hires when this grows enough to warrant that. And hopefully those hires can be almost as good as a co-founder. This choice also gives me a bigger share of the company to start with and allows me to raise more funding should I need it. I am not writing this post to advertise my company but to share my experiences and what I have learned. I welcome questions about the process and how it all came along for anything I didn’t touch on.
Going Forward
My biggest challenges going forward are going to be marketing and sales as you would have guessed. I do also think that figuring out how to get cash flow positive soon as possible will be hard. I know I can only fund this for 8 months from launch. Any more and I have to get a “real” job and get back to working on saving up. Should I have saved more before starting this, well it would have been nice to have more yes but I think this will do well enough to support me within 6 months. My expenses are next to nothing, not that I expect to live high on the hog with 6-8 months either. Well not even for the first few years if ever. I just want to create stuff that people will like and be able to use to better their business or lives.
Have any questions or comments?
My site is phantomam.com and my business email is [email protected] contact me either direct through email or our contact us page found here.
I do want to offer a discount to those who sign up through reddit, I am offering 50% off for life. That means you can try it for only $5 a month. To redeem this, I need to do it manually since I do not have coupons set up currently (features came before admin stuff). So, either email me from your email you used to sign up or message me on reddit with the email you used. I should have all discounts added within a day or two.
I look forward to all your comments and feedback! Thank you for reading and hopefully some of you enjoy my offering enough to share it out with others you think might find it useful. This has been a great learning experience and I hope to continue to learn more each day.
submitted by phantomAMJosh to Entrepreneur [link] [comments]

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